Embrace Uncertainty

People are bad at forecasting. And yet, we predict the future all the time. Uncertainty makes us feel uncomfortable, anxious, and insecure. For this reason, we want to have more control over the unknown to make our brain relaxed.

While forecasting gives us more confidence, the fundamental problem with it is dependence on input data. In many cases, a wrong prediction is worse than an absence of it, giving us an illusion of control. High-quality prediction is a rare beast: we often don't have enough data to guarantee acceptable accuracy.

I have a strong belief that embracing uncertainty is the only way to deal with it. Instead of wasting time trying to predict something that will most likely not work, learn to act in uncertainty.

Chaos is in the very nature of our world, irrational and confusing, but still, it is the way things work. Dealing with uncertainty requires mindfulness and constant attention to detail. It doesn't mean we shouldn't make predictions, but we should treat them as a tool, not as an answer.

People who accept the chaos game are leaders. Their primary mission is to serve others, reduce uncertainty, and create a productive environment for their followers. Leaders are mediators between the uncomfortable world and the deterministic world.

This skill is one of the most important ones you can acquire in the XXI century. The world changes so quickly that you can't just follow some carefully designed plan and win; it forces you to adapt all the time.